Welcome to the ‘Gun Forums’ Category

When is Open Really Open?

Saturday, November 17th, 2007

When Is Open Really Open? Dept.: I noticed a recent announcement by AOL discussing its VoIP initiative, which uses the ubiquitous SIP (Session Initiation Protocol). In the announcement, AOL did some ranting about the importance of open standards. I laughed.

Almost everyone who has failed to develop anything on their own seems to pursue so-called open standards in a vain attempt to get market share. The problem with SIP is that it has never been shown in the field to be as good (or as popular) as the proprietary Skype protocol, which people have flocked to. There isn’t even a handle on the total Skype population anymore. Back in May, Skype was signing up 500,000 users a day. Sixty million users is a low number I’ve heard.
Open standards should never be confused with standards. And open standards should, above all, never be confused with open source. Generally speaking, a standard is ultimately determined by the users. The popularity of Windows makes it a standard. Standards do not have to be ultrapopular, but they have to have some pickup. SIP has some, but Skype is a quantum leap ahead. SIP is open, while Skype is not. With emerging technologies, closed standards generally do better in the market than open standards—at first. If they reach critical mass on a high level (Windows, Skype), they linger for a long time before they are unseated, if they ever are unseated. Some once-hot standards such as GIF get replaced by superior (price-performance) alternatives. This will eventually happen with MP3, for example. The whole process is vague and poorly understood. Entire books have been written trying to explain it.
So what is open about an “open” standard? It’s not a secret. Nothing is hidden from view, which is not the case with Skype and Windows. But open does not necessarily mean free. Nor does it necessarily mean free with open source. Obligations may be attached. When you want something for free—meaning no fees or licenses to use it—then you look for the word “free.” Simple, eh? As in “free software.”

I guess this is just a long-winded way of saying that the once-heralded SIP is not cutting it—yet. People are voting for Skype with their usage patterns. Ahem.

Is It Just Because They Are Getting Killed by Samsung? Dept.: I was in Korea visiting Samsung in 1993 when the company was a world-beater in making cheap CRT monitors. The company was starting to toy with LCD technology and had a few amusing 4-inch panels to show. Nobody in the world could have guessed that within ten years or so it would dominate the LCD business, and that one of its main competitors would be another Korean company, LG Electronics. What were the Japanese doing during this ramp-up? Did they not notice what was going on?

They notice now. So most of the alternative display technologies have gravitated to Japan in the grim hope that the Japanese can recover their lost dominance. The latest scheme is the SED— Surface-conduction Electron-emitter Display —which is similar to the FED, or field-emission display. SEDs are essentially flat CRTs with the electron gun positioned right behind the phosphor so it can light it up without scanning. Besides the flat-panel aspect, a supposed huge advantage to these devices is that they are said to be cheaper to operate and have the life expectancy of a CRT when compared with plasma screens, and also with backlit LCDs that use fluorescent tubes.

Hyde in winter: a grand old career in a Grand Old Party

Saturday, November 17th, 2007

At the age of 82, Hyde leaves behind an impressive legacy as one of the GOP’s greatest debaters and legislative champions. “You can spend a lifetime in politics and encounter only a few people of Henry’s caliber,” said Vice President Cheney in September, at a tribute in Washington. “He’s the rare member who can bring the House to silence merely by stepping to the well. When Henry Hyde begins to speak, you don’t want to miss a word. You know you’re going to hear something persuasive and moving, historically literate, intellectually honest.” On December 5, the entire House honored Hyde by naming a room in the Capitol after him.

Born in Chicago in 1924, Hyde grew up in an Irish-Catholic family that went to Mass on Sundays and voted for New Deal Democrats on Election Day. After serving in the Navy during World War II, he finished his undergraduate degree at Georgetown and returned to Chicago for law school at Loyola. The Cold War was heating up, and Hyde began to move away from his political roots. “To me, Republicans were a bunch of bankers, bloated bondholders, and economic royalists,” he says. “At Georgetown, however, I had become concerned about Communism–and I found the response of the Democrats to be woefully inadequate. They were too close to the far left. My God, Henry Wallace was actually the vice president!”
While Hyde attended law school, the typographers at the Chicago Sun-Times went on strike. “They needed proofreaders and I got hired,” he says. “I was a scab. I wish I could attribute it to high principle, but it was for the paycheck.”

One of his tasks at the paper was to proofread Eleanor Roosevelt’s column. “I remember how she attacked Elizabeth Bentley,” says Hyde, referring to the Communist-party defector who exposed Soviet espionage in the United States and became despised for it by many liberals. In a column released in August 1948, Mrs. Roosevelt condemned “the fantastic story of this evidently neurotic lady”–a line that Hyde can still repeat, almost verbatim. “This definitely pushed me toward the Republican party,” he says.

Hyde voted for Eisenhower twice, but he waited until the late 1950s before registering with the GOP. “There weren’t many of us in Chicago–it was ‘we few, we happy few.’” He ran for Congress in 1962 and lost, though the margin of defeat was much smaller than he and other Republicans had expected. Four years later, he ran for the state legislature and won. He eventually rose to majority leader. He says that one of the proudest accomplishments of his entire career came in Springfield, when he passed a bill requiring government officials to place public money in interest-bearing accounts.

Around this time, Hyde first came into contact with the issue that would define his career more than any other: abortion. “A colleague asked me to co-sponsor a bill to liberalize the Illinois abortion law,” he says. “I had never really thought about abortion, so I read the bill and read a book: The Vanishing Right to Live, by Charlie Rice. I became convinced that abortion was an evil.” Hyde helped beat back the legislation he had been asked to support.

Even then, he had no idea what role the issue would play in his life. He won election to Congress in 1974, the year after the Supreme Court handed down its Roe v. Wade decision. “When I got to Washington, there was absolutely nothing happening on the abortion front,” he says.

That soon changed. One day during his first term, Hyde was standing in the rear of the House chamber. “I was leaning against the rail and probably smoking a cigar, which was allowed back then.” Rep. Robert Bauman, a prominent pro-life Republican from Maryland, told Hyde about a measure to pay for abortions through Medicaid. “He wanted to make an effort to take it out,” says Hyde. “I told him to go ahead. But then he said I should do it because he was a known quantity and the other side wouldn’t see it coming from me.” On a piece of paper, they scribbled an amendment to prohibit the funding. Hyde took the lead in offering and debating it. The proposal united both pro-lifers and small-government conservatives. “To my surprise, it passed,” says Hyde. “We proved something that day: There was a pro-life majority in the House and it just needed to be activated.”

AN ENDURING AMENDMENT

This was the birth of the Hyde Amendment. There were legal and legislative challenges, but it has remained in place ever since–and it is without question the most consequential piece of pro-life legislation ever passed by Congress. “By fairly conservative estimate, in the 30 years that it has been in effect, the Hyde Amendment has saved over 1 million human lives,” says Douglas Johnson of the National Right to Life Committee. The year before the Hyde Amendment, federal funds paid for some 300,000 abortions. Afterward, this figure dropped essentially to zero. The only major revision to the law came in 1993, when Congress added rape and incest exceptions to the life-of-the-mother clause that had been in place from the start.

Faster, Tinier Processors Coming From Taiwan

Saturday, November 17th, 2007

I was pondering this and wondered how and when the U.S. (and Japan, to a lesser extent) lost control of these incredible technologies to the point where Taiwan is a major player. When I first visited Taiwan back in 1988, the executives I spoke with would generalize that Taiwan and China were not keen on precision engineering . It was a cultural thing. The Taiwanese had become the dominant force in the world for injection-molded plastic and, as far as I can tell, still dominate in that technology. Now this. What changed?

Meanwhile, Back to the HD Wars Dept. : Toshiba says it has developed an ultrathin rewritable HD DVD drive that would work in low-profile laptops. Furthermore, it supports dual-layer rewrite and write-only discs, so you can jam 30 gigabytes of data onto a single disc.
The Limits of Utilization Conundrum Dept. : Okay, enough already with the storage capacity of HD DVD. I’m looking around my office and all I see are disk drives. There must be 4 terabytes of total capacity within 50 feet of where I am writing these words. Even with my prodigious ability to pump out RAW photo files, I couldn’t fill a terabyte drive even if I wanted to. I might shoot 30 gigs of photos per year. These columns chew up about 30KB each, and the 5,000 I’ve written so far don’t come close to a gig. Add multimedia, MP3, and other files and I’m at the limit of what I can archive . No matter how hard I try, all this content just doesn’t add up to a terabyte.

Anyway, though I don’t want to sound like Bill Gates, who once said that 640KB of main memory ought to be enough for anyone, let me just say that a terabyte ought to be enough for anyone —for years to come. (Note the insurance phrase.) I think that technology shifts should be driven by what is possible for people to utilize and not by what is possible to manufacture.

Actually, this utilization question has lurked since the beginning of the personal computer roller-coaster ride in the 1970s, when a 5MB hard drive was more than anyone needed . Pundits assumed that utilization limitations were always looming but have never been a real factor. Like a sick variation on Parkinson’s law—work expands to fill the time available—you can always say that the amount of data stored will always match the amount of capacity available. Or that the amount of processing power utilized matches the amount of processing power available. But if you want to be really accurate, you can just substitute the word “wasted” for “utilized.” Thus the amount of drive space wasted will always be equal to the amount of capacity available.

But even with waste, will the needs of the user eventually peak ? “I don’t need all this capacity and power!” This has always been a subtle fear plaguing the industry.

In fact, utilization limitations must become a factor someday, because like everything else, no growth curves go to infinity . The same holds true for people’s utilization needs on the Net. On my blog, for example, the large databases are on the remote server. They’re not local. My personal utilization has been shifted to a more centralized place.

Despite the best efforts of the hard drive industry to force us up toward eventually storing petabytes of information on the desktop, we are going to find it personally impossible even if we get into illegally trading huge music and multimedia archives. Thus, we may soon see the final long-predicted shift from rotating media to silicon storage of data, with its improved performance. You can already get some decent-capacity silicon drives for a reasonable premium over hard drives. Predicting the demise of hard drive technology sounds like lunacy, so let me temper it with a very conservative time frame: By 2020, no personal computer will utilize a hard drive .

The Mystery of Mary Rosh: how a new form of journalism investigated a gun research riddle - Column

Saturday, November 17th, 2007

New York University law professor Yochai Benkler has argued that open source works because programming is a “granular” task–the job of coding a massive piece of software can be broken into many small pieces–and because the Internet allows the rapid collating and peer filtering of work done by thousands of dispersed individuals. Traditional programming requires a few coders to commit a lot of time and effort, for which they will reasonably expect to be paid. When the software’s source code is freely available, however, the big job can be done in small increments by a large pool of volunteers. The results are filtered for quality the same way, with superior pieces of coding copied and spread through the population.

Distributed journalism works similarly. Different lines of inquiry will occur to different people, who bring different kinds of knowledge to bear on the same topic. The ability to concatenate that information online–particularly via those motley commentary sites and open diaries called blogs–makes the information discovered by each available to all.
To see the process in action, consider the case of John R. Lott, author of More Guns, Less Crime, which argues that concealed-carry gun laws reduce crime. In 1999 the sociologist Otis Dudley Duncan questioned Lott’s claim that “if national surveys are correct, 98 percent of the time that people use guns defensively, they merely have to brandish a weapon to break off an attack.”

The major research on defensive gun use, Duncan objected, had shown firing rates ranging from 21 percent to over 6o percent. Lott replied that “national surveys” actually referred to his own heretofore unknown survey of 2,424 households. When Duncan pressed him for the survey data, Lott demurred, saying a hard drive crash had destroyed his data set and the original tally sheets had been lost. In fact, there seemed to be no record at all of the study, nor could Lott recall the names of any of the students who he said had worked on it. Some people began to suspect the study, which is tangential to Lott’s conclusions in More Guns, didn’t exist.

The controversy moved to an e-mail list for academics interested in gun issues. There it brewed until January 10,2003, when it was discovered and linked to by blogger Marie Gryphon. Dozens of blogs picked up the story, and Tim Lambert, one of Lott’s leading critics on the e-list, setup a weblog of his own.

Within weeks, articles on the controversy appeared in The Washington Post, U.S. News and World Report, and other major outlets. Northwestern University law professor James Lindgren, who played a leading role in investigating both Lott and the disgraced gun historian Michael Bellesiles, notes that “at the parallel stage of the investigation into Bellesiles, he was getting a prize for his work.”

Why did the Lott story break so quickly? Part of the difference relates to how the two scandals were investigated. The initial heavy lifting in the Bellesiles case was done by amateur historian Clayton Cramer, later joined by Lindgren, who tried with little immediate success to interest professional historians in the problems he found with Bellesiles’ research. Only when a few committed investigators had uncovered clear proof of malfeasance did the wheels of the academy begin to turn. At that point, the mainstream media took notice.

With Lott, most of the information bloggers had when the story first leaked, including extensive interviews with many of the principals, was again owed to Lindgren’s efforts. Once it was released into the blogosphere, however, reporters could find it quickly on blogs. At the same time, the investigation became an open source affair.

The first round of dispersed investigation came when a Minnesota attorney named David Gross came forward to say he had been the subject of a survey that sounded like Lott’s. The Washington Times ran a brief story implying that the question about Lott’s survey was now closed.

But bloggers were more skeptical: Gross turned out to be a gun rights activist himself, with the group Concealed Carry Reform, NOW! Historian Thomas Spencer unearthed a letter to the Minneapolis Star Tribune in which Gross wrote that gun control advocates “dance on the graves of the innocent victims and glory in their spilled blood.” Another blogger, the pseudonymous Atrios, found news reports recounting how Gross had taken over the names of several gun control groups that had neglected to renew their corporate status with the state.

The Mystery of Mary Rosh: how a new form of journalism investigated a gun research riddle - Column

Saturday, November 17th, 2007

New York University law professor Yochai Benkler has argued that open source works because programming is a “granular” task–the job of coding a massive piece of software can be broken into many small pieces–and because the Internet allows the rapid collating and peer filtering of work done by thousands of dispersed individuals. Traditional programming requires a few coders to commit a lot of time and effort, for which they will reasonably expect to be paid. When the software’s source code is freely available, however, the big job can be done in small increments by a large pool of volunteers. The results are filtered for quality the same way, with superior pieces of coding copied and spread through the population.

Distributed journalism works similarly. Different lines of inquiry will occur to different people, who bring different kinds of knowledge to bear on the same topic. The ability to concatenate that information online–particularly via those motley commentary sites and open diaries called blogs–makes the information discovered by each available to all.
To see the process in action, consider the case of John R. Lott, author of More Guns, Less Crime, which argues that concealed-carry gun laws reduce crime. In 1999 the sociologist Otis Dudley Duncan questioned Lott’s claim that “if national surveys are correct, 98 percent of the time that people use guns defensively, they merely have to brandish a weapon to break off an attack.”

The major research on defensive gun use, Duncan objected, had shown firing rates ranging from 21 percent to over 6o percent. Lott replied that “national surveys” actually referred to his own heretofore unknown survey of 2,424 households. When Duncan pressed him for the survey data, Lott demurred, saying a hard drive crash had destroyed his data set and the original tally sheets had been lost. In fact, there seemed to be no record at all of the study, nor could Lott recall the names of any of the students who he said had worked on it. Some people began to suspect the study, which is tangential to Lott’s conclusions in More Guns, didn’t exist.

The controversy moved to an e-mail list for academics interested in gun issues. There it brewed until January 10,2003, when it was discovered and linked to by blogger Marie Gryphon. Dozens of blogs picked up the story, and Tim Lambert, one of Lott’s leading critics on the e-list, setup a weblog of his own.

Within weeks, articles on the controversy appeared in The Washington Post, U.S. News and World Report, and other major outlets. Northwestern University law professor James Lindgren, who played a leading role in investigating both Lott and the disgraced gun historian Michael Bellesiles, notes that “at the parallel stage of the investigation into Bellesiles, he was getting a prize for his work.”

Why did the Lott story break so quickly? Part of the difference relates to how the two scandals were investigated. The initial heavy lifting in the Bellesiles case was done by amateur historian Clayton Cramer, later joined by Lindgren, who tried with little immediate success to interest professional historians in the problems he found with Bellesiles’ research. Only when a few committed investigators had uncovered clear proof of malfeasance did the wheels of the academy begin to turn. At that point, the mainstream media took notice.

With Lott, most of the information bloggers had when the story first leaked, including extensive interviews with many of the principals, was again owed to Lindgren’s efforts. Once it was released into the blogosphere, however, reporters could find it quickly on blogs. At the same time, the investigation became an open source affair.

The first round of dispersed investigation came when a Minnesota attorney named David Gross came forward to say he had been the subject of a survey that sounded like Lott’s. The Washington Times ran a brief story implying that the question about Lott’s survey was now closed.

But bloggers were more skeptical: Gross turned out to be a gun rights activist himself, with the group Concealed Carry Reform, NOW! Historian Thomas Spencer unearthed a letter to the Minneapolis Star Tribune in which Gross wrote that gun control advocates “dance on the graves of the innocent victims and glory in their spilled blood.” Another blogger, the pseudonymous Atrios, found news reports recounting how Gross had taken over the names of several gun control groups that had neglected to renew their corporate status with the state.

Gun-Possession Warning To Felons Slashes Recidivism In Chicago

Saturday, November 17th, 2007

A pilot program that features warning felons before their release from prison and probationers about gun possession has slashed the recidivism rate in Chicago.

Although the testing so far involves only a few felons and has been in effect for only two years, five-times fewer felons warned about the restriction on gun possession committed new crimes compared to felons who did not receive the warning.

The Illinois Department of Corrections, the Cook County Adult Probation Office, the Chicago Police Department, the Cook County prosecutor, the U.S. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives and the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Chicago conduct the gun-possession alert as part of a Project Safe Neighborhoods (PSN) program.
The state selected felons at random to attend the gun-alert meetings so that there was no specific profile that might skew the program.

The federal, state and local law enforcement officials meet with the probationers for at least an hour and discuss gun-possession laws and how prosecutors determine the charges to be placed when police arrest a felon with a gun.

The sessions also include personal history accounts from other felons that have been convicted of gun-possession.

The U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Northern District of Illinois began the program in January 2003.

Of the felons receiving the warnings, only 3 percent have been arrested for new offenses compared to 22 percent for felons from the same areas that did not attend the gun-alert sessions.
The U.S. Attorney’s Office said the effect on the behavior of probationers and parolees came as a surprise because of the high level of compliance attained so far.

University of Chicago Law Professor Tracey Meares and doctoral candidate Andrew Papachristos conducted research for a PSF study that found the unexpected results of the gun-warning sessions.

The study found that the homicide rate dropped 40 percent in the gun-alert communities since the forums began in January 2003-the largest decline for any high-crime district in Chicago.

Another contributing factor to the homicide decline is the Chicago Police Department’s aggressive campaigns against street gangs over the same period.

The department has assigned Targeted Response Units and installed street surveillance cameras in high-crime areas. Outreach programs such as one called CeaseFire that sends ex-felons into the streets to talk to juveniles and young offenders are also at work in the same communities.

But the unique element in the arrest rate was the contrast between offenders that attended the PSN warning sessions and those that did not receive the alert.

Although law enforcement in Chicago has engaged in a public advertising campaign to warn about gun possession, the sessions held directly with probationers appear to have improved the results.

The Mystery of Mary Rosh: how a new form of journalism investigated a gun research riddle - Column

Monday, November 5th, 2007

New York University law professor Yochai Benkler has argued that open source works because programming is a “granular” task–the job of coding a massive piece of software can be broken into many small pieces–and because the Internet allows the rapid collating and peer filtering of work done by thousands of dispersed individuals. Traditional programming requires a few coders to commit a lot of time and effort, for which they will reasonably expect to be paid. When the software’s source code is freely available, however, the big job can be done in small increments by a large pool of volunteers. The results are filtered for quality the same way, with superior pieces of coding copied and spread through the population.

Distributed journalism works similarly. Different lines of inquiry will occur to different people, who bring different kinds of knowledge to bear on the same topic. The ability to concatenate that information online–particularly via those motley commentary sites and open diaries called blogs–makes the information discovered by each available to all.
To see the process in action, consider the case of John R. Lott, author of More Guns, Less Crime, which argues that concealed-carry gun laws reduce crime. In 1999 the sociologist Otis Dudley Duncan questioned Lott’s claim that “if national surveys are correct, 98 percent of the time that people use guns defensively, they merely have to brandish a weapon to break off an attack.”

The major research on defensive gun use, Duncan objected, had shown firing rates ranging from 21 percent to over 6o percent. Lott replied that “national surveys” actually referred to his own heretofore unknown survey of 2,424 households. When Duncan pressed him for the survey data, Lott demurred, saying a hard drive crash had destroyed his data set and the original tally sheets had been lost. In fact, there seemed to be no record at all of the study, nor could Lott recall the names of any of the students who he said had worked on it. Some people began to suspect the study, which is tangential to Lott’s conclusions in More Guns, didn’t exist.

The controversy moved to an e-mail list for academics interested in gun issues. There it brewed until January 10,2003, when it was discovered and linked to by blogger Marie Gryphon. Dozens of blogs picked up the story, and Tim Lambert, one of Lott’s leading critics on the e-list, setup a weblog of his own.

Within weeks, articles on the controversy appeared in The Washington Post, U.S. News and World Report, and other major outlets. Northwestern University law professor James Lindgren, who played a leading role in investigating both Lott and the disgraced gun historian Michael Bellesiles, notes that “at the parallel stage of the investigation into Bellesiles, he was getting a prize for his work.”

Why did the Lott story break so quickly? Part of the difference relates to how the two scandals were investigated. The initial heavy lifting in the Bellesiles case was done by amateur historian Clayton Cramer, later joined by Lindgren, who tried with little immediate success to interest professional historians in the problems he found with Bellesiles’ research. Only when a few committed investigators had uncovered clear proof of malfeasance did the wheels of the academy begin to turn. At that point, the mainstream media took notice.

With Lott, most of the information bloggers had when the story first leaked, including extensive interviews with many of the principals, was again owed to Lindgren’s efforts. Once it was released into the blogosphere, however, reporters could find it quickly on blogs. At the same time, the investigation became an open source affair.

The first round of dispersed investigation came when a Minnesota attorney named David Gross came forward to say he had been the subject of a survey that sounded like Lott’s. The Washington Times ran a brief story implying that the question about Lott’s survey was now closed.

But bloggers were more skeptical: Gross turned out to be a gun rights activist himself, with the group Concealed Carry Reform, NOW! Historian Thomas Spencer unearthed a letter to the Minneapolis Star Tribune in which Gross wrote that gun control advocates “dance on the graves of the innocent victims and glory in their spilled blood.” Another blogger, the pseudonymous Atrios, found news reports recounting how Gross had taken over the names of several gun control groups that had neglected to renew their corporate status with the state.

Gun-Possession Warning To Felons Slashes Recidivism In Chicago

Monday, November 5th, 2007

A pilot program that features warning felons before their release from prison and probationers about gun possession has slashed the recidivism rate in Chicago.

Although the testing so far involves only a few felons and has been in effect for only two years, five-times fewer felons warned about the restriction on gun possession committed new crimes compared to felons who did not receive the warning.

The Illinois Department of Corrections, the Cook County Adult Probation Office, the Chicago Police Department, the Cook County prosecutor, the U.S. Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives and the U.S. Attorney’s Office in Chicago conduct the gun-possession alert as part of a Project Safe Neighborhoods (PSN) program.
The state selected felons at random to attend the gun-alert meetings so that there was no specific profile that might skew the program.

The federal, state and local law enforcement officials meet with the probationers for at least an hour and discuss gun-possession laws and how prosecutors determine the charges to be placed when police arrest a felon with a gun.

The sessions also include personal history accounts from other felons that have been convicted of gun-possession.

The U.S. Attorney’s Office for the Northern District of Illinois began the program in January 2003.

Of the felons receiving the warnings, only 3 percent have been arrested for new offenses compared to 22 percent for felons from the same areas that did not attend the gun-alert sessions.
The U.S. Attorney’s Office said the effect on the behavior of probationers and parolees came as a surprise because of the high level of compliance attained so far.

University of Chicago Law Professor Tracey Meares and doctoral candidate Andrew Papachristos conducted research for a PSF study that found the unexpected results of the gun-warning sessions.

The study found that the homicide rate dropped 40 percent in the gun-alert communities since the forums began in January 2003-the largest decline for any high-crime district in Chicago.

Another contributing factor to the homicide decline is the Chicago Police Department’s aggressive campaigns against street gangs over the same period.

The department has assigned Targeted Response Units and installed street surveillance cameras in high-crime areas. Outreach programs such as one called CeaseFire that sends ex-felons into the streets to talk to juveniles and young offenders are also at work in the same communities.

But the unique element in the arrest rate was the contrast between offenders that attended the PSN warning sessions and those that did not receive the alert.

Very tasty vegan fare: over 10% of females under the age of 25 claims to occasionally eat vegan, says one source. Exploring vegan baked desserts highlights one potential market

Thursday, July 5th, 2007

Marketing executives agree there is a growing trend toward healthier products. However, many new healthful prepared foods have failed miserably in the marketplace. Why? The answer can be summed up in one very important word: taste.

To elaborate, taste, texture, aroma, mouthfeel and visual appeal all are important when choosing what to eat. Another hedonistic attribute often overlooked is the satiation factor. Satiation does matter, particularly considering healthy desserts. Dessert is a reward you give yourself at the end of a meal. It absolutely must meet all hedonistic expectations. So, how can a company develop a fantastic product that appeals to growing numbers of consumers concerned about health, while building in the hedonistic attributes that ensure success? The answer may be vegan desserts.

Consumers almost unanimously believe that vegan means healthful. And, while manufacturers may cringe at the production of organic products, foods that also possess a similar healthful halo, the formulation and processing of vegan products often is easier and less costly. There are less rigors and expenses when trying to meet federal regulations governing organic foods. More importantly, making vegan items is far less complicated. Many traditional dessert recipes are vegan to begin with! Nabisco’s Oreo cookie is an example of a tasty product that may be a vegan product. However, there has been much discussion on this on Internet forums as of late.

What is Vegan?

Donald Watson coined the word vegan (pronounced VEE-gun) in 1944, in Leicester, England. At the time, the British Vegetarian Society was in a heated debate regarding the definition of the word vegetarian. A proposal was put forward to create an official sub-group of the society that would advocate elimination of dairy products as well as meat from the diet. When the proposal was defeated, Watson led a group of like-minded members in forming a new, more tightly focused organization. The term vegan was created from the first three and the last two letters of the word vegetarian. Watson stated, “Veganism begins with vegetarianism and then carries it to its most logical conclusion.”

The primary concern for a vegan is ethics. The rhetoric found in vegan literature and on websites focuses on ethical and/or environmental issues. By understanding that, many seemingly odd patterns of purchasing behavior become clear.

Vegans do care about the wholesomeness of the foods they eat, and their healthfulness is a secondary concern. Since a vegan diet predominantly contains foods that are innately “good,” such as whole grains, fruits, vegetables, nuts, seeds, high-quality oils and soy products, vegans are not as concerned about healthfulness when eating snacks, sweets and baked goods. Many devout vegans eat what could be considered “junk food” by most nutritionists.

What does this tell us about creating new products that appeal to vegans? It is very possible to create indulgent, hedonistic desserts and snacks that meet all the requirements of vegan philosophy. These foods also can appeal to the vast majority of consumers. The halo of health that makes foods more acceptable will be present, and the “ethical activists” will be on your side!

Making it Vegan

Creating an outstanding and successful new bakery product is a labor of love, or should be. The very best baked products often are created via a team combining bakery scientists, pastry chefs and/or artisan bakers. In developing vegan bakery items, manufacturers may wish to add a practicing vegan to the R&D team.

Remember, the rules followed by vegans are not always scientific or seemingly logical. The majority of vegans follow this diet because of moral concerns for what they believe is needless abuse of animals. For example, a vegan may not eat honey. They believe that taking honey from hardworking insects is exploitative, inflicting stress and even starvation on innocent honeybees. Bees labor endlessly to feed themselves and, in doing so, pollinate the plants we rely on for food. Do bees truly suffer? That is up for discussion; what matters is that vegans believe so. Think of vegan dietary roles as being similar to the rules governing kosher foods. Some of the rules seem quite logical and based in science. Others are simply based on faith, to be followed without question.

Ethics aside, the rules that govern bakery science and cereal chemistry still apply. Every baked good dessert requires a basic cell structure provided by proper formulation and facilitated through a well-engineered process, from mixing to proofing and baking. The product must have a viable leavening system to provide the all-important volume most bakery items need.

Interestingly, gluten, that important element of flour, is a favorite among vegans. This food component is isolated, compressed and often used as a vegan meat substitute as well. (No, it does not taste just like chicken.) “Soy margarine” seems to be a primary ingredient in almost every consumer baked vegan goods recipe. Do not tell them it is shortening; they do not want to know. Vegans happily consume guar, carrageenan, xanthan and cellulose gums. These are considered vegetable gums and are ethically acceptable. In contrast, many vegans will not consume white granulated sugar. The thought is that sometimes animal bones are used during the sugar manufacturing process to whiten the final product, according to Jo Stepaniak on the “Grassroots Veganism” website (see Website Resources).

A Funny Thing Happened On The Way Out of the Forum

Thursday, July 5th, 2007

If you woke up ten New Jersey residents and asked them about the state of health care today, five would utter something unprintable, three would scream about the endless HMO cycle of referrals, one would wish for the good old days of the kindly old family doctor, and the tenth would chase you out of the house with a gun for bothering him or her in the first place with such an odious question. One thing that all ten answers would have in common, however, is emotion. Virtually no one can speak about health care either rationally or coherently today. The subject is too close to us; we’ve all had experiences with the health care system and a sick relative, or our own illness, to supply us with an endless supply of (usually unpleasant) experiences. Even those who are trying to fix the health care problems get emotionally entangled in the issue.

Enter the Princeton-based Forums Institute for Public Policy (FIPP).

Simply put, the FIPP is the Mr. Spock-like referee in debates about issues such as health care. It holds several forums a year in which they invite people from every side of an issue - elected officials’ state government leaders, and private industry leaders with a stake in the matter. Then, it brings these folks together in a closed (as in no press or public attendance) policy forum so that each can present their findings and the others can listen and ask questions in a non-emotional environment. There are no ideological axes to grind, no constituencies to play up to, and no need to muddy up the waters with rhetoric or partisan posturing. The FIPP hopes that by holding such gatherings in a neutral atmosphere that it will be able to facilitate solutions to some of these issues, like health care, that seem to constantly get hung up in emotional and political wrangling.

“It’s an opportunity to bring people together in a non-threatening forum,” said Linda Mater, President of FIPP. “We provide a venue for people to discuss public policy issues.”

Informed Contemplative Dialogue

The Forums Institute for Public Policy got its start in 1992. That was a time when health care and health care reform was much in the news and was high on the federal government’s agenda. The League of Women Voters got together a non-partisan group of policy-makers from across New Jersey to discuss the anticipated health care reforms and what they might mean for New Jersey.

The meeting was a smashing success, and made people realize that this forum idea was a good one, especially since health care seemed to be an issue that was going to take much more input before answers were found. The Robert Wood Johnson Foundation stepped forward with funding, and the FIPP was born.

In 1997, the FIPP was established as a 501 (c) (3) organization to administer New Jersey Policy Forums on Health and Medical Care. Today, the Forums Institute is a National Program Office of the Robert Wood Johnson Foundation and is partially funded by the Foundation. However, it continues to seek other funding sources as befits its 501 status, such as from grants and from foundations.

The FIPP is neither a Democratic or Republican think-tank, nor is it a liberal or conservative organization. Rather, think of it as neutral territory in a world of red and blue. As such, it does not seek to push any particular side in any debate, nor lobby for or against a particular bill.

“The goal of the FIPP is not to influence legislation,” said Nancy Cavallo, Communications Director. “Rather, it is to bring people together in an atmosphere of informed contemplative dialogue and use that process to help develop solutions.”

An example of how the FIPP function is the nursing shortage crisis a few years ago. At its height, the nursing shortage had generated a number of “quick-fix” proposed laws from the legislature, However, by highlighting all aspects of the problem in a policy forum devoid of hysteria, the FIPP was able to illustrate other solutions to the crisis that did not involve a quick legislative fix.

Typically, the small-staffed FIPP (about 5 staffers total) holds about six forums a year in New Jersey. Most are held at Thomas Edison State College in Trenton because of its proximity to state government. State officials often attend the forums, and for good reason: frequently state workers from two different departments will be unknowingly working on similar matters. Without meeting and hearing the other person at a forum, they might never know about the other person’s work, and could end up working either at cross-purposes or else duplicating efforts.

“This gives stakeholders (in an issue) the opportunity to network,” said Cavallo. “it might be the only time they get to see each other.”

Recent FIPP forums have focused on such issues as long-term health care and charity care. Possible topics for future forums include the recent Massachusetts law which requires everyone to have health care insurance coverage.

Help Me, FIPP

The FIPP also gets involved in local issues. Here it acts as a consultant of sorts, being hired by a local government or agency to develop and suggest solutions to a particular problem.